Working Group 3

Simulation group led by Dusan Odstrcil (USA) and Fang Shen (China); At-large leaders: Noe Lugaz (USA) and Chin-Chun Wu (USA)

Scientific Objective

• Provide global context for all CME events investigated by the ISEST team
• Investigate processes of the CME initiation and heliospheric propagation

• Develop tools to assist collaboration of numerical modelers, theoreticians, and observers

Scientific Questions

Initiation

Propagation

Impact

Impact

Results of Numerical Simulations

Simulation

Simulation

Simulation

'Simulation'

Simulation

Simulation

Simulation of Event Periods (with WG1)

• late July to early August 2010
• February 2011
• early March 2012
• July 2012

=Mechanisms, processes, and forces (with WG2)'='

• How much variable ambient conditions affect ICMEs?
• Which mechanisms, processes, forces are governing the CME take-off and ICME propagation?
• The CME-associated phenomena

Forecasting the CME arrival and impacy (with WG4)

• Arrival time
• Geo-effectiveness
• Energetic particles

Future Plan

TBD