Working Group 3

Simulation group led by Dusan Odstrcil (USA) and Fang Shen (China); At-large leaders: Noe Lugaz (USA) and Chin-Chun Wu (USA)

Scientific Objective

The main ISEST objective is to improve the scientific understanding of the origin and propagation of solar transients, and develop the prediction capacity of their arrival and potential impact on the Earth.

The WG3 (Simulation Group) will:

• Provide global context for all CME events investigated by the ISEST team
• Investigate processes of the CME initiation, heliospheric propagation, and CMEs interaction
• Develop tools to assist collaboration of numerical modelers, theoreticians, and observers

Investigation of Mechanisms, Processes, and Forces (with WG2)

• How much variable ambient conditions affect ICMEs?
• Which mechanisms, processes, forces are governing the CME take-off and ICME propagation?
• The CME-associated phenomena

Forecasting the CME Arrival and Impact (with WG4)

• Arrival time
• Geo-effectiveness
• Energetic particles

Future Plan

TBD