Working Group 3

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Simulation group led by Dusan Odstrcil (USA) and Fang Shen (China); At-large leaders: Noe Lugaz (USA) and Chin-Chun Wu (USA)

Scientific Objective

  • Provide global context for all CME events investigated by the ISEST team
  • Investigate processes of the CME initiation and heliospheric propagation
  • Develop tools to assist collaboration of numerical modelers, theoreticians, and observers

Scientific Questions

Initiation

Propagation

Impact

Simulation of Event Periods (with WG1)

*Late July to early August 2010

*February 2011

  • ===Early March 2012===

July 2012

Investigation of Mechanisms, Processes, and Forces (with WG2)

  • How much variable ambient conditions affect ICMEs?
  • Which mechanisms, processes, forces are governing the CME take-off and ICME propagation?
  • The CME-associated phenomena

Forecasting the CME arrival and impacy (with WG4)

  • Arrival time
  • Geo-effectiveness
  • Energetic particles

Future Plan

TBD